1. Updated: Hanushek (1986) added to Cluster 3 (Class Size); Cluster 1 effect size corrected to d ≈ 0.10–0.15.
    → Read Cluster 3 →
Updated: Hanushek (1986) added to Cluster 3 (Class Size); Cluster 1 effect size corrected to d ≈ 0.10–0.15.Read Cluster 3 → →
LITERATURE REVIEW

10 Research Clusters

The literature review is organized into ten thematic clusters, each synthesizing the causal evidence on a core domain of K-12 education policy. Evidence strength ratings (1–5 dots) reflect the quality and consistency of the causal evidence base.

01

Teacher Quality and Value-Added Models

New

Teacher quality is the single most important school-based determinant of student achievement.

d ≈ 0.10–0.15 per SD of teacher quality
Evidence:
02

Early Childhood Education

New

Intensive early childhood programs show high long-run returns, but modern scaled-up programs face a persistent fadeout problem.

7–12% annual ROI (Perry Preschool)
Evidence:
03

Class Size Reduction

New

Class size reduction produces positive effects in early grades, but is expensive and vulnerable to general equilibrium effects at scale.

d ≈ 0.22 (STAR, early grades)
Evidence:
04

School Funding and Resources

New

Targeted school funding increases improve long-run adult outcomes, especially for low-income students. The debate has shifted from whether money matters to how it is spent.

+7.25% wages per 10% spending increase (JJP 2016)
Evidence:
05

Charter Schools and Vouchers

New

Urban 'No Excuses' charter schools produce large, replicable gains. Non-urban charters and large-scale voucher programs often show null or negative effects.

d ≈ 0.40/year (Boston charters, math)
Evidence:
06

Reading Instruction

New

Systematic, explicit phonics instruction is the scientifically validated foundation of early reading. The 'Reading Wars' have a clear empirical winner.

d ≈ 0.41–0.43 (systematic phonics vs. whole-language)
Evidence:
07

High-Dosage Tutoring

New

High-dosage tutoring is one of the most effective and reliably replicable interventions in K-12 education, with average effect sizes of d = 0.37.

d = 0.37 (pooled average, Nickow et al. 2020)
Evidence:
08

Social-Emotional Learning and Non-Cognitive Skills

New

Universal SEL programs reliably improve achievement and behavior. Targeted psychological interventions (grit, growth mindset) show weak effects at scale.

d = 0.27 (universal SEL, Durlak et al. 2011)
Evidence:
09

Out-of-School Factors

New

Family background and neighborhood poverty are primary drivers of educational inequality. High-quality schools can significantly mitigate, but not eliminate, these effects.

30–40% larger income-achievement gap for children born in 2001 vs. 1975 (Reardon 2011)
Evidence:
10

International Education Systems

New

High-performing education systems share selective teacher preparation, equitable funding, and centralized curricula — but translating these features to the US context is deeply challenging.

N/A (system-level comparative research)
Evidence: